Desk Report
Ni 6/7 May
- An epic air battle of 21st Century involving 112 aircraft with BVR technology was won by Pakistan; no loss vs 5 kills (including 3 Rafales)
- Largest swarm drone attack in modern times. Not one returned; all 77 eliminated through hard and soft kills
- Successful defence against Ballistic missiles; all taken out
- Air to surface Brahmos; most were taken out despite their technological advantage of hypersonic speed. Huge success for own AD systems
- India attacked 9 places, Pakistan targeted 26 places.
- Gained confidence in technological prowess and capacity to fight on East and West
- rather than leaning on strat response, Pakistan upended by two notches up conventional response; both in defensive and offensive operations
Pakistan – India War
- Possibility of India – Pakistan War in the future is sealed. There is no space for war. International community cannot afford
International Relevance of Pakistan
- Despite utmost effort; IMF did not stop tranche due to the economic progress and future prospects of Pakistan
- All international powers intervened; India failed to establish status of net security provider.
- most countries stood for Pakistan – China and Türkiye and Gulf and KSA and many more. One country sided explicitly with India i.e. Israel (an ideologically anti Muslim state) West was more towards neutral rather than the perception crafted by India as darling of west.
- the world community realised at the cost of Indian follies that escalation is a very dangerous business and such misadventures have no space.
Internal Politics
- Indian narrative against Muslims and Sikhs exposed – India will take years to recover; exposed at the seams.
- Pakistan’s divisions healed and unity solidified.
- synergy of response and effort at tri services plus mil/pol level
Narrative
- Pakistan narrative based on facts; acknowledged
- Indian narrative based on fake news and lies; laughing stock
- India tagged as State sponsoring terrorism in Balochistan and FAK
- Pakistan shook off label of state sponsoring terrorism.
Regional Geo-politics
- India took years to de-hyphenate from Pakistan; reversed
- No more Af-Pak
- Kashmir issue reinvigorated
Dispute Resolution mechanism between India and Pak as suggested by Pak is the logical way forward.
*Above all the age old maxim proven beyond any doubt : NO compromise on military strength
